Development and validation of multivariable prediction models of serological response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in kidney transplant recipients.

Repeated vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 increases serological response in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) with high interindividual variability. No decision support tool exists to predict SARS-CoV-2 vaccination response to third or fourth vaccination in KTR. We developed, internally and externally validated five different multivariable prediction models of serological response after the third and fourth vaccine dose against SARS-CoV-2 in previously seronegative, COVID-19-naïve KTR. Using 20 candidate predictor variables, we applied statistical and machine learning approaches including logistic regression (LR), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-regularized LR, random forest, and gradient boosted regression trees. For development and internal validation, data from 590 vaccinations were used. External validation was performed in four independent, international validation cohorts comprising 191, 184, 254, and 323 vaccinations, respectively. LASSO-regularized LR performed on the whole development dataset yielded a 20- and 10-variable model, respectively. External validation showed AUC-ROC of 0.840, 0.741, 0.816, and 0.783 for the sparser 10-variable model, yielding an overall performance 0.812. A 10-variable LASSO-regularized LR model predicts vaccination response in KTR with good overall accuracy. Implemented as an online tool, it can guide decisions whether to modulate immunosuppressive therapy before additional active vaccination, or to perform passive immunization to improve protection against COVID-19 in previously seronegative, COVID-19-naïve KTR.

COVID-19 and kidney transplantation.

The COVID-19 pandemic affects the transplant recipients since March 2020. Transplant centers quickly organized themselves to optimize the management of the immunocompromised patients and to progress in the knowledge of this new disease. To this end, a French Registry was created, which includes all solid organ transplant patients who have developed a SARS Cov2 infection. Numerous studies have been carried out using these data to describe this new disease in transplant patients, to characterize its clinical and biological risk factors and to define its prognosis. The 60 days-mortality of transplant patients hospitalized for COVID-19 was evaluated at 23% and renal failure plays a major role in the poor prognosis in addition to the classical risk factors described in the general population. The advent of vaccination has been a great relief but transplanted patients have shown a poor vaccine response keeping them at risk of severe disease even after an adapted vaccination scheme. Specific strategies was proposed in this particularly fragile population like increasing vaccine doses or using anti SARS Cov-2 monoclonal antibodies.

Cerebral perfusion using ASL in patients with COVID-19 and neurological manifestations: A retrospective multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cerebral hypoperfusion has been reported in patients with COVID-19 and neurological manifestations in small cohorts. We aimed to systematically assess changes in cerebral perfusion in a cohort of 59 of these patients, with or without abnormalities on morphological MRI sequences. METHODS: Patients with biologically-confirmed COVID-19 and neurological manifestations undergoing a brain MRI with technically adequate arterial spin labeling (ASL) perfusion were included in this retrospective multicenter study. ASL maps were jointly reviewed by two readers blinded to clinical data. They assessed abnormal perfusion in four regions of interest in each brain hemisphere: frontal lobe, parietal lobe, posterior temporal lobe, and temporal pole extended to the amygdalo-hippocampal complex. RESULTS: Fifty-nine patients (44 men (75%), mean age 61.2 years) were included. Most patients had a severe COVID-19, 57 (97%) needed oxygen therapy and 43 (73%) were hospitalized in intensive care unit at the time of MRI. Morphological brain MRI was abnormal in 44 (75%) patients. ASL perfusion was abnormal in 53 (90%) patients, and particularly in all patients with normal morphological MRI. Hypoperfusion occurred in 48 (81%) patients, mostly in temporal poles (52 (44%)) and frontal lobes (40 (34%)). Hyperperfusion occurred in 9 (15%) patients and was closely associated with post-contrast FLAIR leptomeningeal enhancement (100% [66.4%-100%] of hyperperfusion with enhancement versus 28.6% [16.6%-43.2%] without, p = 0.002). Studied clinical parameters (especially sedation) and other morphological MRI anomalies had no significant impact on perfusion anomalies. CONCLUSION: Brain ASL perfusion showed hypoperfusion in more than 80% of patients with severe COVID-19, with or without visible lesion on conventional MRI abnormalities.

Development and validation of multivariable prediction models of serological response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in kidney transplant recipients

Repeated vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 increases serological response in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) with high interindividual variability. No decision support tool exists to predict SARS-CoV-2 vaccination response to third or fourth vaccination in KTR. We developed, internally and externally validated five different multivariable prediction models of serological response after the third and fourth vaccine dose against SARS-CoV-2 in previously seronegative, COVID-19-naïve KTR. Using 20 candidate predictor variables, we applied statistical and machine learning approaches including logistic regression (LR), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-regularized LR, random forest, and gradient boosted regression trees. For development and internal validation, data from 590 vaccinations were used. External validation was performed in four independent, international validation cohorts comprising 191, 184, 254, and 323 vaccinations, respectively. LASSO-regularized LR performed on the whole development dataset yielded a 20- and 10-variable model, respectively. External validation showed AUC-ROC of 0.840, 0.741, 0.816, and 0.783 for the sparser 10-variable model, yielding an overall performance 0.812. A 10-variable LASSO-regularized LR model predicts vaccination response in KTR with good overall accuracy. Implemented as an online tool, it can guide decisions whether to modulate immunosuppressive therapy before additional active vaccination, or to perform passive immunization to improve protection against COVID-19 in previously seronegative, COVID-19-naïve KTR.

[COVID-19 and organ transplantation, lessons from the national Registry of the Société Francophone de Transplantation]. / COVID-19 et transplantation d'organes, les leçons du recensement national de la Société francophone de transplantation.

The Covid-19 pandemic hit the transplant world in March 2020. Teams quickly organized themselves to optimize the management of their immunocompromised patients and to progress in the knowledge of this new disease. To do this, a French Registry was set up, listing all solid organ transplant patients who had developed a SARS Cov2 infection. Numerous studies carried out on the basis of these data have enabled us to describe the disease in transplant patients, to characterize its clinical and biological severity factors and to define its prognosis. The mortality of transplant patients hospitalized for Covid-19 is 23% at 60 days and renal insufficiency plays a major role in the poor prognosis in addition to the classic risk factors described in the general population. The advent of vaccination has been a great relief, but transplant patients have developed a poorer vaccine response than immunocompetent subjects, keeping them at risk of severe disease after an adapted vaccination schedule. Specific strategies had to be adopted in this particularly fragile population (increased number of vaccine doses, injection of monoclonal antibodies). The collaboration of the French transplantation centers under the impulse of the Société Francophone de Transplantation allowed us to carry out many collaborative projects, which were of great use for the care of the patients.

Association Between Maintenance Immunosuppressive Regimens and COVID-19 Mortality in Kidney Transplant Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients are at high risk for fatal forms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a cohort study among kidney transplant (KT) recipients from the French Solid Organ Transplant COVID-19 Registry to investigate the association between maintenance immunosuppressive drugs and 60-d mortality. METHODS: Data from all KT recipients with COVID-19 included in the French Solid Organ Transplant COVID-19 Registry between February 28, 2020, and December 30, 2020, were retrieved. We evaluated associations between immunosuppressive drugs and death within 60 d using logistic regression, with all baseline characteristics considered to influence outcome or immunosuppressive regimen. The Benjamini-Hochberg correction was used for controlling false positive rate; 40 multiple imputations were performed. Adjusted P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: There were 1451 KT recipients included. Median age was 58 y, and 66.4% were men. Most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (81.9%), diabetes (34.5%), and cardiovascular disease (29.5%). Median time since transplant was 71 mo. Maintenance immunosuppression regimens included calcineurin inhibitors (1295, 89.2%), antimetabolites (1205, 83%), corticosteroids (1094, 75.4%), mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors (144, 9.9%), and belatacept (58, 4.0%). Among 1451 transplant recipients, 201 (13.9%) died within 60 d. Older age and higher baseline serum creatinine were associated with mortality (odds ratios, 1.09 [1.07-1.11] and 1.01 [1.005-1.009], P < 0.001). Corticosteroid-free regimens were associated with a significantly lower risk of death (odds ratio, 0.48 [0.31-0.76]; P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Corticosteroid-free regimens were associated with a lower risk of death in KT recipients with COVID-19. Long-term exposure to corticosteroids impairs immune functions and may predispose solid organ transplant recipients to severe forms of COVID-19.

Torque teno virus DNA load as a predictive marker of antibody response to a three-dose regimen of COVID-19 mRNA-based vaccine in lung transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that lung transplant recipients (LTR) develop a poor response to two doses of COVID-19 vaccine, but data regarding the third dose are lacking. We investigated the antibody response after three doses of mRNA vaccine in LTR and its predictive factors. METHODS: A total of 136 LTR, including 10 LTR previously infected and 126 COVID-19-naive LTR, were followed during and after three doses of mRNA vaccine. We retrospectively measured anti-receptor-binding domain (RBD) IgG response and neutralizing antibodies. In a posthoc analysis, we used a multivariate logistic regression model to assess the association between vaccine response and patient characteristics, including viral DNA load (VL) of the ubiquitous Torque teno virus (TTV) (optimal cut-off set by ROC curve analysis), which reflects the overall immunosuppression. RESULTS: After 3 doses, 47/126 (37.3%) COVID-19-naive LTR had positive anti-RBD IgG (responders) and 14/126 (11.1%) had antibody titers above 264 Binding Antibody Units/mL. None neutralized the omicron variant versus 7 of the 10 previously infected LTR. Nonresponse was associated with TTV VL ≥6.2 log10 copies/mL before vaccination (Odds Ratio (OR) = 17.87, 95% confidence interval (CI95) = 3.02-105.72), mycophenolate treatment (OR = 4.73, CI95 = 1.46-15.34) and BNT162b2 (n = 34; vs mRNA-1273, n = 101) vaccine (OR = 6.72, CI95 = 1.75-25.92). In second dose non-responders, TTV VL ≥6.2 or <3.2 log10 copies/mL before the third dose was associated with low (0/19) and high (9/10) rates of seroconversion. CONCLUSION: COVID-19-naive LTR respond poorly to three doses of mRNA vaccine, especially those with high TTV VL. Future studies could further evaluate this biomarker as a guide for vaccine strategies.

Prediction of Vaccine Response and Development of a Personalized Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Strategy in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Results from a Large Single-Center Study.

Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) displays marked inter-individual variations in magnitude of immune responses to anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. The aim of this large single-center study was to identify the predictive factors for serological response to the mRNA-1273 vaccine in KTRs. We also devised a score to optimize prediction with the goal of implementing a personalized vaccination strategy. The study population consisted of 564 KTRs who received at least two doses of the mRNA-1273 vaccine. Anti-RBD IgG titers were quantified one month after each vaccine dose and until six months thereafter. A third dose vaccine was given when the antibody titer after the second dose was <143 BAU/mL. A score to optimize prediction of vaccine response was devised using the independent predictors identified in multivariate analysis. The seropositivity rate after the second dose was 46.6% and 22.2% of participants were classified as good responders (titers ≥ 143 BAU/mL). On analyzing the 477 patients for whom serology testing was available after the second or third dose, the global seropositivity rate was 69% (good responders: 46.3%). Immunosuppressive drugs, graft function, age, interval from transplantation, body mass index, and sex were associated with vaccine response. The devised score was strongly associated with the seropositivity rate (AUC = 0.752, p < 0.0001) and the occurrence of a good antibody response (AUC = 0.785, p < 0.0001). Notably, antibody titers declined over time both after the second and third vaccine doses. In summary, a high burden of comorbidities and immunosuppression was correlated with a weaker antibody response. A fourth vaccine dose and/or pre-exposure prophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies should be considered for KTRs who remain unprotected.

Breakthrough COVID-19 cases despite prophylaxis with 150 mg of tixagevimab and 150 mg of cilgavimab in kidney transplant recipients.

The cilgavimab-tixagevimab combination retains a partial in vitro neutralizing activity against the current SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (omicron BA.1, BA.1.1, and BA.2). Here, we examined whether preexposure prophylaxis with cilgavimab-tixagevimab can effectively protect kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) against the omicron variant. Of the 416 KTRs who received intramuscular prophylactic injections of 150 mg tixagevimab and 150 mg cilgavimab, 39 (9.4%) developed COVID-19. With the exception of one case, all patients were symptomatic. Hospitalization and admission to an intensive care unit were required for 14 (35.9%) and three patients (7.7%), respectively. Two KTRs died of COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome. SARS-CoV-2 sequencing was carried out in 15 cases (BA.1, n = 5; BA.1.1, n = 9; BA.2, n = 1). Viral neutralizing activity of the serum against the BA.1 variant was negative in the 12 tested patients, suggesting that this prophylactic strategy does not provide sufficient protection against this variant of concern. In summary, preexposure prophylaxis with cilgavimab-tixagevimab at the dose of 150 mg of each antibody does not adequately protect KTRs against omicron. Further clarification of the optimal dosing can assist in our understanding of how best to harness its protective potential.

Combining predictive markers for severe COVID-19: Torquetenovirus DNA load and SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia.

RATIONALE/OBJECTIVES: SARS-CoV-2 is the cause of worldwide COVID-19, which severity has been linked to the immune and inflammatory response. Here, we investigate Torquetenovirus (TTV) DNA load - a marker reflecting the intensity of the overall immune response - as well as SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia and IgM/IgG antibodies in COVID-19-positive patients. METHODS: Two hundred and fifteen COVID-19-positive patients were enrolled, including 87 severe cases and 128 mild-moderate cases. SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia and IgM/IgG antibodies, as well as TTV DNA loads, were measured on longitudinal plasma samples. RESULTS: The rate of severe cases was higher in patients with low TTV DNA load in plasma considering a threshold of 700 copies/mL. In severe patients, SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia positivity rates were higher than those in mild-moderate cases at any timepoint. When combined, TTV DNA load and SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia allowed to predict the outcome of COVID-19 infection, with a higher risk (HR=12.4) of ICU admission in patients with low TTV DNA load and positive SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia. CONCLUSIONS: TTV DNA load and SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia may be effective, non-invasive markers reflecting disease severity and poor outcome that could be conveniently measured in a clinical laboratory setting, as soon as COVID-19 diagnosis is made.

Early Administration of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Monoclonal Antibodies Prevents Severe COVID-19 in Kidney Transplant Patients.

Introduction: Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are prone to develop severe COVID-19 and are less well protected by vaccine than immunocompetent subjects. Thus, the use of neutralizing anti-SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibody (MoAb) to confer a passive immunity appears attractive in KTRs. Methods: We performed a French nationwide study to compare COVID-19-related hospitalization, 30-day admission to intensive care unit (ICU), and 30-day death between KTRs who received an early infusion of MoAb (MoAb group) and KTRs who did not (control group). Controls were identified from the COVID-SFT registry (NCT04360707) using a propensity score matching with the following covariates: age, sex, delay between transplantation and infection, induction and maintenance immunosuppressive therapy, initial symptoms, and comorbidities. Results: A total of 80 KTRs received MoAb between February 2021 and June 2021. They were matched to 155 controls. COVID-19-related hospitalization, 30-day admission to ICU, and 30-day death were less frequently observed in the MoAb group (35.0% vs. 49.7%, P = 0.032; 2.5% vs. 15.5%, P = 0.002; 1.25% vs. 11.6%, P = 0.005, respectively). No patient required mechanical ventilation in the MoAb group. The number of patients to treat to prevent 1 death was 9.7. Conclusion: The early use of MoAb in KTRs with a mild form of COVID-19 largely improved outcomes in KTRs.

Infection or a third dose of mRNA vaccine elicits neutralizing antibody responses against SARS-CoV-2 in kidney transplant recipients.

Transplant recipients, who receive therapeutic immunosuppression to prevent graft rejection, are characterized by high coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related mortality and defective response to vaccines. We observed that previous infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), but not the standard two-dose regimen of vaccination, provided protection against symptomatic COVID-19 in kidney transplant recipients. We therefore compared the cellular and humoral immune responses of these two groups of patients. Neutralizing anti-receptor-binding domain (RBD) immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies were identified as the primary correlate of protection for transplant recipients. Analysis of virus-specific B and T cell responses suggested that the generation of neutralizing anti-RBD IgG may have depended on cognate T-B cell interactions that took place in germinal center, potentially acting as a limiting checkpoint. High-dose mycophenolate mofetil, an immunosuppressive drug, was associated with fewer antigen-specific B and T follicular helper (TFH) cells after vaccination; this was not observed in patients recently infected with SARS-CoV-2. Last, we observed that, in two independent prospective cohorts, administration of a third dose of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine restored neutralizing titers of anti-RBD IgG in about 40% of individuals who had not previously responded to two doses of vaccine. Together, these findings suggest that a third dose of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine improves the RBD-specific responses of transplant patients treated with immunosuppressive drugs.

Low T Cell Responsiveness in the Early Phase of COVID-19 Associates with Progression to Severe Pneumonia in Kidney Transplant Recipients.

Kidney transplant (KT) recipients are at increased risk of developing severe forms of COVID-19. Little is known about the immunological mechanisms underlying disease severity in these patients receiving T-cell targeting immunosuppressive drugs. We investigated the relationship between T cell responsiveness at the beginning of the infection and the risk of subsequent progression to respiratory failure. We performed a multicentric prospective study in KT recipients with a positive RT-PCR COVID-19 test and only mild symptoms at inclusion. Blood samples were collected at baseline in a cell culture system containing T cell stimuli. We assessed T cell responsiveness by computing the ratio between the levels of Th1, Th2, Th17 and Treg cytokines produced after polyclonal stimulation and the number of blood lymphocytes. We then used an unsupervised classification approach to stratify patients into low and high T cell responders and a penalized logistic regression to evaluate the association between T cell responsiveness and progression to severe pneumonia. Forty-five patients were included. All patients who progressed to severe pneumonia (24.4%, n = 11) were low T cell responders at baseline (p = 0.01). In multivariate analysis, low T cell responsiveness at baseline was the main risk factor for subsequent progression to severe pneumonia. This study provides novel insights into the mechanisms underlying COVID-19 severity in organ transplant recipients and data of interest to clinicians managing immunosuppressive drugs in these patients.